Generated from prompt:
Presentation on AGRHYMET’s current drought early warning system and future plans for drought Impact-Based Forecasting (IbF). Include background on AGRHYMET, description of current early warning systems, data sources and technologies used, limitations of the current system, introduction to impact-based forecasting, steps toward its implementation at AGRHYMET, partnerships and capacity building, and expected outcomes for the Sahel region.
Overview of AGRHYMET's Sahel drought monitoring since 1974, current systems (SPI/VHI bulletins), data/tech, limitations, and shift to IbF via implementation steps, partnerships, capacity building for
This title slide features "AGRHYMET’s Drought Early Warning System & Future IbF" as the main text. The subtitle emphasizes "Transitioning to Impact-Based Forecasting for the Sahel."
Transitioning to Impact-Based Forecasting for the Sahel
The presentation agenda outlines AGRHYMET's background, current early warning system, and its key limitations in drought monitoring. It then introduces Impact-Based Forecasting, implementation steps with partnerships, and expected Sahel outcomes.
Overview of AGRHYMET, existing early warning system, data, and technologies.
Key challenges and gaps in the present drought monitoring approach.
Basics of IbF and shift from hazard to impact focus.
Roadmap for IbF adoption, capacity building, and key collaborators.
Expected regional benefits and final remarks.
AGRHYMET is the Regional Centre for Agrometeorology (CILSS) that has monitored Sahel droughts since 1974. It serves 9 Sahelian countries by providing agro-climatic bulletins and early warnings.
Current Early Warning Systems feature seasonal forecasts, agrometeorological bulletins, drought indices like SPI and VHI, and crop yield predictions. They deliver bi-weekly or monthly updates to farmers and policymakers.
The slide "Data Sources & Technologies" features a table listing key data sources alongside their primary technologies. It covers satellites (MODIS, Landsat), ground stations (rain gauges), models (ECMWF, CHIRPS), and GIS (ArcGIS for mapping).
{ "headers": [ "Source", "Technology" ], "rows": [ [ "Satellites", "MODIS, Landsat" ], [ "Ground Stations", "Rain gauges" ], [ "Models", "ECMWF, CHIRPS" ], [ "GIS", "ArcGIS for mapping" ] ] }
Source: AGRHYMET Drought Early Warning System
The slide lists key limitations of the current system, which is probability-based rather than impact-focused and has limited socio-economic data integration. It also notes challenges in real-time data access and varying national capacities.
This slide serves as the section header for Section 06: Introduction to Impact-Based Forecasting (IbF). It describes the shift from hazard-probability focus to evaluating impacts on people, economy, and sectors for more actionable warnings.
06
Shift from hazard-probability to impacts on people, economy, sectors for actionable warnings.
The timeline outlines AGRHYMET's steps for Impact-Based Forecasting (IbF) implementation: pilot assessments in 2023, capacity training in 2024, impact chain integration in 2025, and full operational rollout in 2026. Ongoing monitoring and evaluation will sustain its effectiveness.
2023: Launch Pilot Assessments Initiate pilot assessments to evaluate IbF integration in drought early warning systems. 2024: Conduct Capacity Training Programs Deliver targeted training to build staff expertise in impact-based forecasting methods. 2025: Integrate Impact Chains Develop and incorporate impact chains into AGRHYMET's forecasting framework. 2026: Roll Out Operational IbF Implement full operational Impact-Based Forecasting across regional operations. Ongoing: Monitoring and Evaluation Establish continuous monitoring and evaluation for sustained IbF effectiveness.
Source: AGRHYMET
The slide "Partnerships & Capacity Building" showcases strategic collaborations with WMO, EU, and Sahel national meteorological services for funding, expertise, and real-time drought impact data networks. It also emphasizes training over 100 experts in drought forecasting and broader initiatives to strengthen regional capacity for IbF implementation.
{ "features": [ { "icon": "🤝", "heading": "WMO & EU Funding", "description": "Strategic partnerships securing vital funding and expertise." }, { "icon": "🏛️", "heading": "National Met Services", "description": "Collaborations with Sahel national meteorological services." }, { "icon": "🎓", "heading": "Training 100+ Experts", "description": "Workshops enhancing skills in drought forecasting." }, { "icon": "📊", "heading": "Impact Data Networks", "description": "Networks collecting real-time drought impact data." }, { "icon": "💪", "heading": "Capacity Building Initiatives", "description": "Strengthening regional expertise for IbF implementation." } ] }
The slide titled "Expected Outcomes for Sahel Region" lists key benefits from an initiative. These include reduced drought vulnerability, improved resource allocation, enhanced food security, and greater resilience for 300 million people.
The conclusion slide announces that AGRHYMET is advancing to IbF for impactful drought warnings in the Sahel. It ends with a thank you and an invitation to contact for collaborations.
AGRHYMET advancing to IbF for impactful drought warnings in the Sahel.
Thank you! Contact for collaborations.
Explore thousands of AI-generated presentations for inspiration
Generate professional presentations in seconds with Karaf's AI. Customize this presentation or start from scratch.